2017年5月8日星期一

【Mikromb】领导者的眼光 - 是否受惠越南商机 - 欧阳锋

之前笔者看到Jaks老板为了扩大水务业务跑去越南,结果发现缺电问题,而开始建电厂。因而笔者开始对越南市场有兴趣,缺电问题开始解决,市场就会开始做大,笔者去年10月开始收集和研究越南的相关资料。

 2015年12月越南通过两项新法律为了吸引更多的外国投资
大纲主要如下:
1)Freedom of enterprise affirmed
2)Substantial reduction of the remaining foreign ownership limits
3)Procedural improvements intended to facilitate foreign investment projects and acquisitions
4)Improved corporate governance rules


 为了方便了解越南的发展提供相关资料

越南排在第7名,主要是因为越南基础建设不够,国土狭长又没有高速公路,也没有捷运,而且投资有限制。但从2016年下半年开始,越南政府给予新局,取消了外资持有上限49%的规定,现在只有银行有特别限制。外国人也可以持有买卖房地产。
越南文化诱因
第一,越南人很温和,第二,他们的宗教,跟台湾和中国差不多,连庆连节跟台湾和中国一样,算是第二个中国。
中国崛起
越南华人有82万人,占总人口1%,近几年随中国崛起,很多当地人认为随中国发展对他们未来有帮助,这出现了中国热,想学中文的人数增加.
越南经济
越南经济也在起飞当中,房地产也是其中一环,距离胡志明中心正在进行大型的造镇计划,这个区域完工后,将有13栋建筑物。13栋建筑物里包含一个86层摩天大楼。另外还有酒店和购物中心,商办跟住宅。这个地方被形容成上海东新区,胡志明高级商办都会在这。
 
越南房地产正在进入上涨阶段,相交邻近其他国家。2016年交易量超过40%,对国内住宅买家来说,每年可达到5 - 8%投资回酬,非常吸引外资投资。
另外,胡志明第一条捷运正在新建,2020完工通车,让房价有期待空间。
 
越南2016年GDP成长率达到6.21%是东协国家资优生,越南市场不可忽视是块金砖大饼
另外一份报道在2016年12月
促进越南 - 马来西亚商业合作
在2016年上半年,双向贸易额近40亿美元。越南对马来西亚的主要出口包括电脑,电子设备,电话和零件,原油,大米,橡胶,钢铁,咖啡和石油。同时,其进口的主要是石油,电脑,电子设备和部件,动物和植物油,塑料,化工,钢铁。

在投资方面,马来西亚是第二大东盟投资者在越南与547个项目和139亿美元的注册资本。在2015年,马来西亚有27个新项目获得许可,15个项目允许增加其投资资本,总额24亿美元。在2016年上半年,马来西亚向越南注资3.07亿美元,其中2.5亿美元来自18个新项目,近0.5亿美元来自现有的12个项目。东盟经济共同体(AEC)的成立为其成员国和外国合作伙伴提供了巨大的投资和贸易机会。

资料来源:http://vccinews.com/news_detail.asp?news_id=34208
 
之后笔者发现开始有上市公司投资越南市场





 
大众银行 - 越南业务续扩充
大众银行越南有限公司也取得出色成长。郑鸿标指出,在2016年收购大众银行越南的剩余股权后,已带来令人鼓励的表现。集团将继续在越南展开扩充计划,目标是于2017年开设6家分行。
 
资料来源:
亚航投资5820万‧越南联营廉航公司
亚洲航空(AIRASIA,5099,主板贸服组)建议与越南的Gumin公司、陈重坚(译音,Tran Trong Kien)以及海鸥航空(HAA)联手在越南设立廉航公司,以进一步扩展东南亚市场。
 
资料来源:
之后笔者慢慢寻找那些公司比较符合我们条件
1) 开始在越南开阔市场
2) 成长股公司
3) 高赚幅 – Gross margin 40 – 50%
4) ROE 15%-20%
5) Net cash
6) 最好有发dividend
不一定要全部条件符合,根据情况而定。之前笔者分析的Elsoft就符合笔者大部分条件。
 
最后我们看上了Mikromb
 

图(1)
 



图(2)
 
两个季度达到6Million图(1),半年已有6Million, 那么下半年保持就有12million, 业绩有机会突破新高。之后开始查看最新的季度图(2)显示有很高的Gross margin 和 Net profit margin. Gross Margin 是 53.6%和Net profit margin 是 24.6%,从中可以知道他们的产品有高赚幅利润。这大大引起笔者的兴趣,值得深入研究。
 

图(3)
 
翻查2016年年报图(3)Chairman statement里面提及过去5年公司的ROE都超过20%以上,除了2013年是18.5%。另外,公司虽然没有派息政策但过去5年的Total Net profit RM 33.6million派出了47.7% total dividend RM16million. 如果包过Bonus issue 将高达75.6%。
 
图(4)
 
最新季报图(4)也显示是Net cash company = Cash – total liabilities = RM3,759,422,公司没有负债问题。
 
 
公司品牌知名度
2016年1月16号, director在the star里面提及尽管其主要竞争对手是Schneider Electric和Siemens等主要国际品牌,公司仍在马来西亚获得超过50%的市场份额 - 保护继电器的利基(Niche area of protective relays)。公司的竞争优势是他们提供的售后服务。对于公司的马来西亚客户,如果他们面临与公司产品有关的任何问题或不确定性,我们派技术人员帮助他们,很多其他品牌都无法提供这项服务。

公司约有60%的业务在马来西亚,但他们已将产品出口到约20个其他国家,包括澳大利亚,孟加拉国,柬埔寨和中国。在公司海外市场,业务的40%集中在越南。公司在越南已经14年了,而且当时是第一个海外市场。
 
另外一个主要优势是定价,因为公司的一些产品比竞争对手的成本要便宜得多。这取决于哪些产品和哪些品牌,但公司的产品通常更加实惠,尤其是与欧洲大品牌相比。最初,很难说服我们的客户接受马来西亚制造的产品用于他们的电气系统,并打击国际品牌。现在越来越好,公司已经在市场上已经有19年了。
 
资料来源:http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/01/16/mikro-sees-good-year-ahead/
 
公司的website也提供很多详细资料
 
General FAQ
What type of products does the company produce?
Mikro produces analogue, digital and numerical electrical distribution equipment.

What are the company's products used for?
Mikro's products are used as an important component of a building's integrated electrical system. They are designed to monitor and prevent damage to electrical equipment by isolating and tripping a circuit breaker when an electrical fault is detected, in the process allowing unaffected parts of the electrical system to continue to operate.
What kind of buildings most commonly fit Mikro's products?
The versatility of our products makes them ideal for use in schools, hospitals, hotels, shopping complexes, banks and industrial plants and other mid-sized to large buildings.

Can I order products online?
We aim to ensure you receive exactly the right equipment for your particular project, which is why we currently only invite enquiries through our sales lines and agents.

Do Mikro's products come with a warranty?
Yes. All our products come with a two year warranty.

Does Mikro provide after-sales support?
Yes. We welcome the opportunity to provide our customers with support and assistance. For technical assistance dial our service hotline on 1800 88 1113, or for general enquiries simply dial +603 5192 7155 and let us know how we can help.
Which quality standards does Mikro adhere to?
Mikro is accredited with ISO 9001:2008 certification on quality management systems. The ISO 9001:2008 is an assurance of our ability to consistently provide products that meet customer and applicable regulatory requirements. It also ensures our ability to enhance customer satisfaction through the effective application of the system, including processes for continual improvement of the system and the assurance of conformity to customer and applicable regulatory requirements.
 
以上都是公司想让客户对该产品有所了解,同时我们也发现公司确实在提供售货服务如该产品有两年warranty,售后服务如产品发生问题有提供专业人员协助。另外,公司也很细心,公司为了确保客户选择正确的设备,没有提供online service让客户自己选, 只通过销售线和代理为客户提供专业且选择正确的设备。
 
公司产品种类
Analogue Protective Relays
Analogue Protective Relays use analogue electronic circuits and components in the shape of discrete semiconductor components such as diodes, transistors, or ICs. These are then assembled together on a printed circuit board (PCB) to create the final product.
 
Digital Protective Relays
Digital Protective Relays use a digital logic IC or microprocessor as the main component to control the essential functions and features. Minimal analogue electronic circuits are used to interface the digital logic part of the relay to the physical world. These analogue and digital circuitries are integrated on a PCB to form the relay. Digital microprocessor relays enable us to implement advanced features using specialist software.

 
Numerical Protective Relays
Numerical Protective Relays are similar to Digital Protective Relays but posses significantly advanced sensory programmes. This enables them to undertake more complex, precise and detailed analysis of input signals prior to issuing an action.
 
Microprocessors
Mikro's microprocessors use 16 bit microcontroller, DSP (Digital Signal Processor) engines. Signals are processed by digital means which improves reliability while overcoming the shortfalls of analogue circuits.
 
SMT
Surface Mount Technology or SMT, allows for a smaller form factor which improves production efficiency and yield (due to automation) and is responsible for improved noise immunity performance.
 
CAD CAM
At Mikro we use two industrial standard software packages. 1) Altium, for printed circuit board design. 2) Autocad, for mechanical design. Computer aided design and manufacturing complements the end product by giving us rapid prototyping and simulation, improved precision and tolerance and better documentation.
 
Switch Mode Power Supply
Customers can operate Mikro's relays under different electrical networks (US/Japan 110Volts, Malaysia, Europe, 230Volts). Our power supply units also promote higher efficiency and are lighter weight.
 
EMC
To perform effectively, all relays must be immune to EMC noise. Mikro's products are sensitive enough to detect small signals while remaining immune to nuisance tripping.
 
 
为让读者方便了解,笔者也提供youtube给各位深入了解该产品。以上商品都是比较专业用的电子器材。主要业务是设计及生产功率因数校正器 (Power Factor Regulator) 和多款断电器(Relay)相关产品。主要用于建筑物和工厂的供电装置,以防止电流超载,短路或漏电。
 
公司旗下品牌“Mikro”是自身研发和制造,主要在大马和东南亚国家销售,公司产品也供应予吉隆坡第二国际机场(Klia 2)及捷运项目(MRT 1&2)等工程,目前也正投标吉隆坡118大楼的供应合约。
 
公司做过的工程
公司的供应商
以上是公司的suppliers, 很多来自上市公司Inpro Pakistan Private Limited,JCK Controls Pte Ltd,Measuring Automation Company, Ltd,Rotax Limited,Amit Knitting Industries Ltd,Energypac Engineering Ltd,Rickson Engineering Limited。同时笔者也看到有些上市公司也有放公司旗下品牌“Mikro”,这增加知名度。
 
公司提供服务的国家


购买新工厂
在2015年12月17号, 公司在Bursa公告表示已经获得了一块Freehold的工业用地,面积约为4,047平方米,有一个单层仓库,一个附属的三层办公大楼和停车场等, 以RM 11.72 Million购买位于巴生地皮与建筑,为往后发展铺路。
根据之前公司在报道提及可以该工厂将为公司的能力增加到现在做的五倍。
另外,公司并未通过发right issue向股东拿钱购买土地,而是通过一项私人配售(private placement),以筹集约846万美元用于翻新工程,购买机械设备和营运资金。


图(5)
最新季报图(5)显示目前该工厂还未开始运作,有可能拖到2018年底,需保持跟踪。
 
图(6)
 



图(7)- Trade receivables
图(8)- Trade payables
重点
  1. 公司之前符合转主板条件,但未转,而2017年三月的最新报道提及,公司不愿转主板。转主板能吸引基金购买该公司股票,但公司目前已说明没有这个打算。不过,公司目前已经有5个投资机构投资,当中包过Norges Bank, 兴业银行和大华银行旗下基金。
  2. 2016年年报提及公司的Tax exemption将在2017年5月30号到期,但director并未担心,不会影响公司业务,免税优惠只限于软件开发成本,失去免税优惠预计往后需要承担RM70万到RM80万左右。根据本人自身经验,公司购买的新工厂如果开始运作,有机会再次拿到免税优惠。
  3. 另外,新工厂增加新生产线和储存空间近期以获得有关当局批准。
  4. 根据2016年年报 - 图(6)我们可以看到出口去Vietnam的需求开始增加,而且对比2015年几乎增加两倍的量。
  5. 另外,公司出口是以美元计算,公司进口原料也是以美元计算,但从Trade receivables 对比Trade payables占的比例,明显看出公司赚美元比较多。也从2016年一月的报道提及虽然公司必须进口大约20%的原材料,但出口的收入明显高于和超过这些成本。
  6. 当公司收购新工厂,而且未来产量会增加五倍,明显看出公司准备开阔东南亚市场,现在我们看到越南需求量大增,尤其是越南开始要建13栋建筑物里包含一个86层摩天大楼。另外还有酒店和购物中心,商办跟住宅,还有越南生态城市公园和工厂等。刚好都是公司主要潜在客户,因为产品主要用于建筑物和工厂的供电装置,以防止电流超载,短路或漏电。在最新2017年三月报道,也证明这个观点,提及东南亚市场潜力大,新建筑物不断涌现,加上原有客户更换新设备带动。近几年越南经济发展蓬勃,大部分建筑物仍未有这设备,因此拥有巨大商机。目前公司出口占44%,下个目标未来5年提升到2/3。
  7. 新产品抢占市场,公司今年内推出智能系列电器,采用物联网的概念,让电器系统连接互联网,客户可通过网络及时掌握工厂的电流状况和发生电路问题时找出根源,可成为公司未来成长动力,让公司未来5年持续忙碌,而该产品将以全套式销售,料可进一步提升该公司赚幅。
总结:
公司符合笔者全部条件
1) 开始在越南开阔市场
2) 成长股公司
3) 高赚幅 – Gross margin 40 – 50%
4) ROE 15%-20%
5) Net cash
6) 最好有发dividend
另外,值得笔者留意五月公布的业绩将是关键,去年五月公布的业绩提及公司由于农历新年假期的影响和新年庆祝活动的推进效应,本季度传统上是较低的销售季度。如果这次的季度增加,将是利好因素。
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 

 

2017年4月27日星期四

PERAK TRANSIT BERHAD另外一只准备转主板的飙涨股?

PERAK TRANSIT BERHAD
Recently, we can see some stocks have been shooting up sharply due to the reason of transferring from ace to main board. HSSEB has seen its stock price rally up to 110% return within 1 year, SALUTICA also enjoy with same news and the share price has go up to 100% within 1 year! Are you looking for the next stock like HSSEB and SALUTICA that listed within 1 year and eligible to change to main board? Yes, there is another hidden gem that can be the next 100% gain in your portfolio!
Last year PTRANS IPO has set another remark for the group and now the Group is qualified for the transfer to main market, having recorded a cumulative net profit of RM54.5m over the past 3 years. PTRANS involve in 3 type of business, which are :
  • integrated public transportation terminal operation amounted to 41.0% of total revenue
  • petrol station operations (31.7%)
  • bus operations (27.3%).
Investor should know that PTRANS have a unique business for his integrated public transportation terminal operation! It can be differentiate by few segments which are advertisement and promotional events, the rental of outlets and kiosks, project facilitation fees, entrance fees and car-park fees. Advertisement and promotional events contributed around 51.8% to this segment which means most of its income is derived from advertising and promotional activities. Here’s some picture for you to understand what is A&P activities.


Beside, PTRANS plans to enhance Terminal AmanJaya Separately, the MD quoted that they would be seeking the expansion of its Terminal Amanjaya by 166k to a total 375k sf, enhancing the current bus transportation terminal into a retail and lifestyle hub. We think this would positively enhance values for the company longer term, allowing them to grow their rental income and advertising revenue from increased leasable area and promotional space.
Perak Transit intends to adopt new advertising and promotion (A&P) channels such as digital platforms with new media digital capabilities that can leverage on mobile, social and online technologies, as well as a planned increase of the A&P spaces for advertisement rental at Terminal AmanJaya.
How about Bus Operation? Perak Transit is acquiring 25 new express buses for RM480,000 per 28-seater express bus, which will increase its fleet size to 171 buses by year-end, from 146 buses currently. The purchase will be financed with a term loan. What’s make the group bus operation segment so interesting is the group will acquire new bus route permits to expand the network of its services, which will include 16 new stage bus routes under the Stage Bus Service Transformation Programme. What is SBSTP? Have a look at the link provided below:
Source from: http://www.spad.gov.my/land-public-transport/buses/taking-bus/mybas
Under the Stage Bus Service Transformation Programme (SBST), which was introduced in the National Land Public Transport Master Plan (2012-2030). The SBST Programme will be focused on improving operator viability and expanding bus route coverage through a migration of the current fare-box collection model to gross-cost service contract model.  What is gross- cost service contract model?


It means this is a profit guarantee business which will be funded by our government!


Last but not least, currently PTRANS has 4 petrol station operation and all of these petrol station is a great synergy with the bus operation! Everyone one know that petrol station always provide a good income, so we skip this part.
Since PTRANS was listed on Bursa Malaysia, company has acquired 3 piece of land to duplicate the business model from Terminal Amanjaya to other places.


1st Land Purchase at KAMPAR, PERAK
The new Terminal Kampar is located approximately 32km away from Terminal AmanJaya in Meru Raya. Terminal Kampar is expected to ride on its own growing population within that locale from increased upcoming economic activities. The Group acquired 3.72ac of land in Kampar for RM1.3m in Jan 2016 and has obtained the Development Order (DO) in May 2016, completion by mid FY18.


The Terminal Kampar construction cost of RM128.3m will be funded by part of the IPO However, based on an extrapolation of Terminal AmanJaya which has a plot ratio of 0.58x, Terminal Kampar could have a GFA of 93,259sf, which we reckon could be on a very conservative side. If we apply the average FY16-17E A&P revenue psf of RM107/psf for Terminal AmanJaya and applying a 10% discount rate, with contributions estimated to commence by Aug 2018, this will add another RM3.7-8.4m to FY18-19E gross profit or 8-15% or FY18-19E gross profit.


Why KAMPAR?  Kampar town has been identified as a suitable location for the next terminal due to its ever growing population driven by increased economic activities from higher learning institutions such as TAR College, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman (UTAR), Westlake International School (WIS), while upcoming institutions include UCSI University and Metropolitan College! With huge pool of students, PTRANS will benefit from both A&P activities and Bus operation! Apart from that, those who want to visit a mall have to travel all the way to IPOH, with this new terminal lifestyle hub, it will feature with leisure components such as hotel, cinema, bowling alley, gymnasium, badminton court and shopping complex.


2nd Land Purchase at TRONOH,PERAK
The Sale Land is strategically located in Tronoh, Perak, along the Ipoh-Lumut highway. The State Government of Perak has plans to transform Perak into a knowledge-based economy which includes plans to develop the state as an education hub. In press statement issued by Investment Perak in March 2013, the State Government of Perak was in process of marking up Kampar, Ipoh and Tronoh as an education triangle. In line with the said transformation plans, a growing list of both private and public universities has been established within the vicinity of these areas. The Sale Land is located nearby the Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS (“UTP”). UTP is built on 400 hectares (990 acres) at Seri Iskandar, Perak. UTP has produced more than 14,000 graduates and currently has an enrolment of over 1,200 foundation students, 6,000 undergraduates and 1,200 international postgraduate students. The Sale Land is also located nearby the upcoming establishment of SEGi University College (“SUC”) which would open its branch campus in a 20-hectare site near Tronoh. As stated in Section 2.8 of this announcement, the SPA is conditional upon the execution of a joint venture agreement between Pasti Kenari and MB Inc in accordance with the Principal Agreement. The joint venture between Pasti Kenari and MB Inc entails the potential development of several parcels of land earmarked for a mixed development including housing and development project adjacent to the Sale Land. Subject to the completion of the Proposed Acquisition, the Group plans to develop the integrated public transportation terminal in Tronoh, Perak in the next five (5) years. The up and coming potential development of Tronoh, Perak augurs well to the Group’s plans in developing an integrated public transportation terminal in the same area. PTRANS intends to replicate its Terminal AmanJaya integrated public transportation terminal model located in Meru Raya, Ipoh to Tronoh site. At this juncture, PTRANS is unable to determine the construction cost for the terminal to be built on the Sale Land as the construction project is still at its preliminary stage and the approvals have yet to be obtained from the relevant authorities.
It is likely this future terminal in Tronoh will be larger than their current terminal and could possibly encompass a commercial hub similar to that planned for Kampar
Construction :
  1. integrated bus terminal complex including
  2. a petrol station on the Sale Land
NOTED : subject to the approval of the appropriate authorities


Another land purchased at BIDOR,PERAK
Approximately 4.901 acres in area, situated on part of master title held under HS(D) 24184 PT 10587 Mukim Bidor (“Master Title”), Daerah Batang Padang, Negeri Perak. The Sale Land is currently vacant.
The Proposed Acquisition is in line with the PTRANS Group’s business plans to develop integrated public transportation terminals in other cities. The Sale Land which is located in Bidor, Perak will enable the PTRANS Group, with its experience and expertise gained from operating Terminal AmanJaya, to construct and develop integrated public transportation terminal in Bidor, Perak.
At this juncture, PTRANS is unable to determine the construction cost for the terminal to be built on the Sale Land as the construction project is still at its preliminary stage and the approvals have yet to be obtained from the relevant authorities.
WHY THERE?
  1. Duplicate the location strategy which is near to the PLAZA TOL PLUS. With this, Perak Transit can make a huge billboard beside the PLUS highway and make A&P income.
  2. Act as the First Integrated Terminal with lifestyle hub at BIDOR that include some entertainment such as Cinema, Fast food retails, grocery and so on.
CONCLUSION:


Although the share capital is huge and the debt is high, but we can see that PTRANS future prospect is very exciting! The business has very high – barrier to entry and PTRANS take up about 98% market share of Ipoh stage-bus ridership. As PTRANS is appointed as a bus provider for Stage Bus Service Transformation Programme by SPAD, the group is able to sustain the business with stable income in future. Besides, the Terminal AmanJaya will attract more event management agents and customers this year in conjunction with Visit Perak Year and the opening of MAPS.








Do not forget another exciting Terminal Kampar which will commence at 2H2018 and the upcoming terminal at Tronoh and Bidor!


Due to the nature of business which requires large sums of capex invested for projects that serve national interest, Perak Transit is a beneficiary of Approved Service Project Status (ASPS) tax whereby Perak Transit is able to claim up to 60% of capex invested from FY12-17 (5-year period). Historically, the company has received a total tax incentive of RM49.4m for FY13-15 and has a remaining RM88m to go which can be progressively utilised over a longer period. The Group is
going to apply for the ASPS tax incentive for the new Terminal Kampar and we are confident they will be successful as it is a national interest project which we have yet to impute.




This is not a buy call, please seek the advice from your broker.
Trade at your own risk.

笔者
张无忌

2017年4月13日星期四

ML Global容光焕发!首炮文章 by 张无忌

ML Global

相信大家都懂KERJAYA最近股价一直上升都是有赖以DATO TEE ENG HO这个白武士从E&O老板手中把原本盈利不稳地的FUTUTECH (KERJAYA前称) 转换成一间散户及投行追捧的建筑公司。自从DATO TEE把KERJAYA带进来,股价从RM1.30飘升到现在RM3.00! 散户都在想如果早一点知道买进那就好了,多希望可以买到像这样的公司呀。但是今天向大家介绍这间公司,有很大的可能可以成为像KERJAYA那样的另外一间公司!它就是MLGLOBAL, 大家从来都没注意过的公司!
相信在雪隆一区的人民都有听过一间名声赫赫有名的发展商 LBS BINA ,林木生集团。LBS是专攻AFFORDABLE HOUSING的一间发展商,相信大家可以一直看到林木生集团的名字出现在各大报章,名声响亮及投行最爱让LBS的股价上升不少。看看下图是不是觉得LOGO很熟悉呢。
就在2016年9月,LBS BINA把自己的建筑公司MITC ENGINEERING的75%股权纳入MLGLOBAL里面。ML GLOBAL將以發新股及優先股支付。林木生集团和MITC工程董事經理林利杰分別持有MITC工程75%和25%股權MLGLOBAL以3亿令吉收购MITCE建筑公司后,身兼林木生集团董事经理的丹斯里林福山,现在也是MLGLOBAL的最大股东,而且股权已经超过33%,但是大家不必担心,丹斯里林福山曾在报导透露,他不可能强制收购此公司!最重要的是此举动导致MLGLOBAL的订单暴涨至总16亿令吉,盈利至少可维持贡献两年。当然肥水不如外人田,其中有60%的合约就是林木生集团旗下项目!

也在2016年7月15日,MLGLOBAL旗下的子公司Vintage Tiles Industries制造业由于在競爭激烈的环境中营运。决定結束瓦片制造與貿易业务操作可减少亏损,並改善公司整体現金流。这也说明了公司已经放弃屋瓦制造贸易,转攻建筑业。此举动是值得赞许的,这样集团才能更专注!丹斯里林福山自己也披露,建筑业务的发展前景良好,相信MLGLOBAL能标得更多的政府建筑合约,因此对建筑领域保持相当乐观的态度。
这里丹斯里说到了重点!大家必须知道林木生家族与政府的关系不浅,从LBS可以获得我的雪蘭莪房屋計劃,与環球房產管理私人有限公司(Worldwide Property Management)攜手進行雪蘭莪依約(Ijok)城鎮發展項目,發展總值約34億3000萬令吉!再来又有最近与YPJ种植私人有限公司发展柔佛KOTA TINGGI的541英亩土地,发展总值26亿令吉,涵盖住宅和商业单位,包括“柔佛人民房屋” ( PERUMAHAN RAKYAT JOHOR)。过后林木生集团也是政府近期推出的数字自由贸易区(DFTZ)的主要受益者,在距离吉隆坡国际机场不到20公里的龙溪(Dengkil),拥有高达633英亩地。从这几件事看来,ML GLOBAL很大的机会可以得到一些PRIMA和PPAIM 的房屋建筑订单,再不然可能也可以从基础建设比如LRT和MRT上分得一杯羹,就像GKENT之前从来没有涉及过这些项目,因为老板和我国首相是”GOLFING BUDDY”而获得高达60亿的订单!股价节节上升!
除了政府建筑合约,再看看林木生集体本身的发展计划。2017林木生集团对房产前景乐观,放眼年內推出12个计划,总值23亿4900万令吉!通常建筑费用介于发展价值的1/3 或 1 /4,这也就等于高达10亿的订单!加上那些政府房屋计划都是长达10至15年的计划,这也代表ML GLOBAL在未来15年不怕没有工程!ML GLOBAL 可指望于林木生集团的发展计划成长来吃糊。林木生集团强劲的新工程流将为ML全球带来可持续性的建筑合约,从而支撑其盈利和股价表现。
加上丹斯里林福山曾经在报章说过,ML GLOBAL拥有先进的机械和技术人才,提供更多的商业机会,并可以竞标更大规模的外部建筑工程。而且MLGLOBAL当然不会“陪太子读书”,所投标的项目都是有相当的把握,LBS集团旗下项目获准成功率为80%,而集团以外的项目投标的成功率也超过50%。该集团在MITCE建筑公司的加入后,消费者的产业投诉案例已大幅降低,因此对MLGLOBAL是个利多。
那么ML GLOBAL的PROFIT MARGIN会不会很高呢?
由于ML GLOBAL 没有清楚划分CONSTRUCTION的PROFIT MARGIN,所以我们拿总3个季度的营业额及盈利,对比总4个季度的营业额及盈利

CONSTRUCTION





(RM'000)



Quarter
REVENUE
GROSS PROFIT
PROFIT
Profit Before Tax (%)
4
87,885
10,527
9,759
11
3
27,232
6,000
5,986
22
单季度建筑盈利
60,653
4,527
3,773
6

  
   
从以上的简单计算我们可以看到ML GLOBAL的PBT只有6%,属于一般。 但是对ML GLOBAL来说但季度就有高达 60 MILLION的营业额及 3.7 MILLION 的 PBT是一个很大进步!但是我相信在把这建筑公司转换进ML GLOBAL 后,管理层应该会引进更新的技术来达到COST EFFECTIVE及得到HIGHER MARGIN PROJECT! 加上LBS集团本身庞大的PROJECT, ML GLOBAL受惠不浅。
 
近期 ML GLOBAL与Alaf Cahaya发展私人有限公司签署联营协议,以共同将雪州八打灵一块占地1万8965.72平方米的土地发展成总值2亿7000万令吉的综合产业发展计划。该公司发文告指出,相关计划将分两期发展74个商业单位和398个服务公寓单位,而根据协议,集团将在2018年12月1日前完成首期商业单位的建设工作,并支付地主现拖欠主要承包商的1975万2788令吉和大华银行的800万令吉贷款。
除结算单位外,ML全球将享有整个发展计划的所有销售所得(包括UNBILLED SALES)。 看来ML GLOBAL也会在 PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT有所作为,在丹斯里林福山的领导之下,相信要把ML GLOBAL的发展项目做好一点都不困难!

股价在LBS 把建筑公司纳入ML GLOBAL就偷步上升!相信有不少投资基金也看中了这金鸡!

在今年最新的报导中,林木生集团现在持有MLGLOBAL 56.4%的股权,截至2016年底有19億2000萬令吉訂單,未進賬訂單達12億6000萬令吉。才短短3个月,MLGLOBAL订单又在增加!大家也可以看看ML GLOBAL的网页,执行了不少PROJECT!

 
丹斯里林福山最近一直持续增持股权,而前执行长DATO BEH HANG KONG也开始在卖他的股权,但是是卖给谁呢?ML GLOBAL的前景如何,相信大家也可以看到,我们就拭目以待吧!

此文章纯属分享,没有任何买卖建议。

笔者
张无忌




2017年4月6日星期四

[XINHWA]一个受惠于"一带一路"之网购平台的物流股

推小型商品网购网站 新华冀1年收支平衡

推小型商品网购网站 新华冀1年收支平衡 苏国民(左起)、黄益泉、浙江义乌购电子商务公司总经理王建军、首相署马来西亚中小企业拓展中心(SAME)首席执行员符策勤,为www.e5buy.com主持推介礼。(摄影:曾鉦勤)
(吉隆坡31日讯)新华控股(XINHWA,5267,主板贸服股)今天推介首个小型商品B2B网购网站「www.e5buy.com」,预计一年內达到收支平衡。
新华控股董事经理黄益泉透露,新网站的设置成本耗资40万令吉,公司將视这项新业务发展的情况决定是否投入更多的资金。
同时,黄益泉也说,该公司的电子商务平台开跑后,保守估计每月有超过2000个集装箱將商品从中国义乌运送到我国。
黄益泉是在e5Buy网站推介礼后的记者会上,发表上述谈话。列席者还有新华控股首席財务员郭宝挥,以及义乌购电子商务董事经理苏国民。
新华控股是3月24日宣佈,以50万令吉收购义乌购电子商务有限公司的50.01%股权。
入驻义乌市场
根据与中国浙江义乌购电子商务公司签订10年合约,马来西亚义乌购电子商务获得「义乌购」品牌的使用权,並可进入义乌商品市场的產品和供应商资料库。
与此同时,黄益泉称,「电子商务是我们非常新的一项业务,我们尚未对该项业务的营业额作出预测。我们明白虽然起步將会比较困难,但电子商务目前正在快速发展,我们有信心现在是进场的好时机。」
他也补充说,未来3年,该公司將专注於在我国发展这项新业务,以確保网站能够在这里稳定经营。它们有信心e5buy.com能够在我国成长成为杰出的电子商务网站。
「电子商务与我们现有的业务有许多共同的地方,这项新业务能够为我们的货运服务带来更多的发展机会。」
新华控股不排除未来会將电子商务业务拓展到其他东南亚国家,例如印尼、菲律宾、越南和泰国。
询及e5buy.com在大马的优势,黄益泉指出,通过与浙江义乌购电子商务公司的合作,网站坐拥现成的供货资源,一上线就可提供来自於约7万5000名供货商的超过180万种商品。
该网站主要面向我国商家,以马幣计价,提供小型商品批发服务。网站显示,以海运的方式,从下订单到货物送达,需要14至20天时间。
另外,苏国民表示,「若选择海运的方式,我们提供免费的货运服务,而空运服务则需另外计费。」
位於中国浙江的义乌购商品市场,是小型商品供应商的聚集区,吸引来自全世界的客户到此採购。e5buy.com除了让本地商家能够使用网购的方式从该市场购买货品,更希望能够將我国商品带到义乌。
苏国民指出,他希望能让我国商品入驻义乌购大宗商品市场,藉助该市场的客流量,帮助我国商品到达全世界。
「我们正与首相署马来西亚中小企业拓展中心(SAME)进行討论,並將面向中小型企业开办课程,吸引我国商家入驻义乌购。中国方面已允诺將免除我国商家首年的入驻费。」
大马也计划在浙江义乌购商品市场开设大马商品展览厅,以展示我国商品,並在e5buy.com开闢我国商品专页。 转载自东方日报:http://www.orientaldaily.com.my/business/cj11252190
http://www.e5buy.com/

义乌属于一带一路-新丝绸之路的起点


当今物流股如此备受市场看好是因为网购所带动大量的物流需求,如今XINHWA却拥有物流和网购平台于一身,本人相信这协同效应将会很显著的发挥。

笔者